Hisashi Iwakuma (0-1, 6.61) and the Seattle Mariners (38-44) go up against Alfredo Simon (7-5, 3.94 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (41-40) in the first of a three-game series at Safeco Field. The game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jul. 6 and will air on FSN-DET and ROOT-NW.
Nelson Cruz (.304, 41 Rs, 21 HRs, 50 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. In his career against the Mariners, Simon is 0-0 with a 0.93 ERA. He gets a less-than-stellar Seattle offense that's batting just .229. Miguel Cabrera (.350, 43 Rs, 15 HRs, 54 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Tigers, going 2 for 2 yesterday with one RBI.
Seattle is a -145 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a 20-28 record and overall money line at -1,248. They are 1-3 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The most recent 10 game stretch for Seattle's pitching staff has gone great. Over that span, Seattle's opponents are averaging 2.7 runs per game, below their season average of 3.9.
Across the field, the Tigers have a record of 15-20 when they are the underdog and are -219 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 4-6 SU and have a poor 0-4 record when they were an underdog to win. The top hitting team in the AL are the Tigers, who average 9.7 hits per game. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Detroit pitchers. They allowed 6.5 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.6.
The Mariners will take on a right-hander (Simon) in this game and have a 30-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Tigers will be the right-hander Walker. They sport a 30-32 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Under
Detroit recorded at least two errors for the seventh time this season.
When the Mariners play into extra innings, they have a 4-6 record. The Tigers are 3-5 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Tigers managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mariners who are heading in with a 2-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 21-13. The Tigers have a 35-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Seattle is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 278 this season. Detroit ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 359.
Ranking 19th, Seattle is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 223 this season. Detroit ranks in the top half at 13th with 240.
When the Mariners hit at least one home run, they are 31-19, well-matched with the Tigers who are 30-17 when hitting one or more homers.