In the first of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (46-36) and the Cincinnati Reds (46-36) at Nationals Park, Doug Fister (3-4, 4.34 ERA) and Anthony DeSclafani (5-6, 3.68 ERA) get the ball. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Jul. 6 and will air on FSN-OH and MASN.
In his last start, Fister pitched 6.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out four and walking two in a 4-1 loss to the Braves. Bryce Harper (.347, 58 Rs, 25 HRs, 60 RBIs, 4 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run and one stolen base. In his pitching opportunities against the Nationals, DeSclafani is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA. He meets a solid Washington offense that's batting .257.
Washington, a -165 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. The Nationals are 37-25 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +44. They are 7-3 as the favorite over their last 10 games. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the NL with an average of 3.1 walks per game. As for the pitching staff, the Nationals rank third in the NL in home ERA with a 2.86 team average. The Nationals are fourth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.3 per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .326 when playing as the underdog (14-29) and an overall money line of -886. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-3 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 3-7. The Reds have racked up 82 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league. Cincinnati's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.6 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.4.
So far this season, the Reds are 3-0 against the Nationals. This game will feature DeSclafani (RHP) on the mound against the Nationals, who have a 33-31 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Fister. They sport a 27-33 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
Cincinnati has won 42% (14-19) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Washington has won 59% (24-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Reds have a 10-21 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Nationals have a slight leg up on the Reds, as the Nationals have won their last three games while the Reds have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 28-10. The Nationals have a 35-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, Cincinnati has earned 318 this season. Washington ranks ninth with 358 runs.
Ranking 11th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 249 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 256.
When the Nationals hit at least one home run, they are 33-15. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 30-22 record.