Chris Heston (8-5, 3.78 ERA) and Jon Niese (3-8, 3.90 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the San Francisco Giants (42-41) and the New York Mets (42-41) at AT&T Park. The Giants come into this series hoping to snap a six-game losing streak. Action begins at 10:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Jul. 6 and can be seen on SNY and CSN-BAY.
Heston pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out one and walking three in a 6-5 defeat to the Marlins. Buster Posey (.304, 44 Rs, 14 HRs, 57 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Niese is 1-3 with a 2.92 ERA when pitching against the Giants. He takes on a quality San Francisco offense which is hitting .268 this season. Curtis Granderson (.253, 43 Rs, 13 HRs, 29 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Mets, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
San Francisco is a -148 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Giants have an overall money line of -207 and a record as the favorite of 20-23. The Giants have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. San Francisco strikes out the least of any team in the NL at home, with only 6.5 per game. San Francisco's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.0.
In the other locker room, New York is coming in with an overall money line of -144 and a disappointing record of 8-28 as the underdog. Offensively, the Mets have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.4 runs per game by averaging 2.0 during that stretch. Shifting to the pitching staff and defense, the The Mets allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fifth in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season.
The Giants lead the season series, 2-1. The Giants have an 11-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Niese takes the mound. Heston (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 34-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
New York earned its seventh shutout of the season in its last game. San Francisco has been shut out seven times this season.
When the Mets play into extra innings, they have a 4-2 record. The Giants are 3-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Giants have a 17-20 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Giants are 37-8. The Mets have a 28-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, New York sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 290 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 12th with 346.
San Francisco and New York both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. San Francisco sits at 17th with 231 this season and New York ranks 20th with 218.
The Giants are 29-17 when they hit at least one home run. The Mets perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 25-14 record.