Eric Surkamp (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and Aaron Harang (4-11, 4.08 ERA) start in the first of a four-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (46-37) and the Philadelphia Phillies (28-56) at Dodger Stadium. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jul. 6 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and SportsNet LA.
This is the first start for Surkamp this season. He pitched 24.1 innings last season, finishing 2-0 with a 4.81 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and 20 strikeoutsJustin Turner (.312, 30 Rs, 11 HRs, 37 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. When pitching against the Dodgers, Harang is 4-7 with a 4.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and 58 strikeouts. Maikel Franco (.297, 27 Rs, 10 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Los Angeles is a -178 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Dodgers have an overall money line of -942 and a record as the favorite of 40-34. The Dodgers have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.2 runs per game. The Dodgers are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 258. Los Angeles leads the whole NL in walks, earning an average of 3.6 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Dodgers, who have a team ERA of only 3.29. The Dodgers are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.20 so far this season.
In the other locker room, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,968 and a disappointing record of 25-50 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-7 record, and a 2-8 record SU.
The Dodgers have a 42-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Harang takes the mound. Surkamp (LHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against left-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 2-7 and 5-11, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Under
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 16 games.
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road.
Philadelphia is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing LA Dodgers.
Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers.
Philadelphia has won 32% (13-28) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Los Angeles has won 56% (18-14) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Dodgers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Phillies have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 8-42. The Dodgers have a 10-26 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 52 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at fourth with 104.
Los Angeles and Philadelphia both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at 12th with 8.30 hits per game and Philadelphia ranks 11th with 8.39.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.659). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .757.
When the Phillies allow at least one home run, they are 12-37. When the Dodgers allow one or more homers, they have an 18-24 record.