Wade Miley (8-7, 4.53 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (39-45) go up against Dan Haren (6-5, 3.45 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (35-48) in the first of a two-game interleague series at Fenway Park. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jul. 7 and will air on FSN-FL and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Miley pitched 5.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out two and walking seven in a 12-6 victory over the Blue Jays. Hanley Ramirez (.277, 47 Rs, 18 HRs, 43 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 Sunday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. In his pitching opportunities against the Red Sox, Haren is 2-7 with a 3.41 ERA. He gets a solid Boston offense that's batting .257.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Red Sox have an SU record of 6-4 against the National League. The Red Sox come into the game with the AL's fifth-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 4.6 runs per game in their own ballpark. They typically aren't overmatched by pitchers, ranking second in the AL with an average of only 6.5 strikeouts per game.
Against AL opponents, the Marlins are 5-8 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.5 runs per game, below their 3.6 season average. Miami's pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play competition from the AL. They've allowed an average of 5.0 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.1.
The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (Haren) in this game and have a 30-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the left-hander Miley. They sport a 9-10 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS
When leading after 7 innings, Boston is 19-20, while Miami is 15-27.
The Red Sox managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are coming in with a 7-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Red Sox have a slight leg up on the Marlins, as the Red Sox have won their last two games while the Marlins have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 25-14. The Red Sox have a 32-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th, Miami sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 300 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 354.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 195 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 268.
When the Red Sox hit at least one home run, they are 28-27. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 24-26 record.