Francisco Liriano (5-6, 2.99 ERA) and Tyson Ross (5-7, 3.63 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (48-34) and the San Diego Padres (39-46) at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 2-1 and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jul. 7 and can be seen on FSN-SD and ROOT-PIT.
Liriano is 1-2 with a 1.97 ERA in his appearances against the Padres, and goes up against a below-average San Diego offense which is batting just .239 this season. Andrew McCutchen (.299, 45 Rs, 10 HRs, 51 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with two runs. Ross is 1-2 with a 3.55 ERA against the Pirates in his career. He is up against a good Pittsburgh offense that's batting .256. Yonder Alonso (.307, 23 Rs, 2 HRs, 20 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Pittsburgh is a -168 favorite against San Diego and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. The Pirates have recorded an overall money line of +599 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 40-20. The Pirates are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 8.7 per game. Pittsburgh is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 62 bases. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Pirates, who have a team ERA of only 2.92. The Pirates are the fourth-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.2 hits per game to their opponents this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Pirates, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.1.
As for their opponent, San Diego is coming in with an overall money line of -553 and a disappointing record of 18-27 as the underdog. The Padres have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.4 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Pirates lead the season series, 3-2. The Pirates have a 38-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Ross takes the mound. Liriano (LHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 10-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Padres lost by a margin of one run. The Pirates are 17-13 in one-run games. The Padres have a 10-13 record in close games.
The Padres are 6-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 4-7 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Padres are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Pirates have a 16-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 7-35. The Pirates have a 9-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 25th in home runs, Pittsburgh has hit 63 this season. San Diego ranks 18th with 70 home runs.
Ranking 13th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.18 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.96.
Ranking 27th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.663). Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .697.
The Padres are 19-32 when they allow at least one home run. The Pirates perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 15-24 record.