Kyle Gibson (6-6, 3.04 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (44-39) square off against Kevin Gausman (1-0, 3.09 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (43-40) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the second of a three-game series at Target Field. The Twins won the last game 4-2 and Minnesota leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jul. 7 and can be seen on MASN2 and FSN-N.
Gibson pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out seven and walking four in a 2-0 win over the Royals. Brian Dozier (.260, 63 Rs, 17 HRs, 42 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Against the Twins, Gausman is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and seven strikeouts. Manny Machado (.301, 53 Rs, 18 HRs, 47 RBIs, 13 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Orioles, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Baltimore is a slim -108 favorite over Minnesota. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of +1,241 and a record as the underdog of 36-32. The Twins are the top team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.5 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Baltimore has a 26-18 record and an overall money line of +261. The Orioles can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fifth in the league with 101 home runs. The Orioles allow 3.9 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.8 runs per game during that span.
The Twins have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Twins have a 25-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gausman takes the mound. Gibson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 32-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BAL, O/U - Over
Minnesota has won 45% (13-16) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Baltimore has won 62% (20-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Twins are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Orioles have an 11-16 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 5-27. The Twins have an 8-35 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 20th in home runs, Minnesota has hit 69 this season. Baltimore ranks fifth with 101 home runs.
Minnesota and Baltimore both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Minnesota sits at 10th with 8.35 hits per game and Baltimore ranks seventh with 8.57.
Ranking 22nd, Minnesota is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.694). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .734.
When the Orioles allow at least one home run, they are 23-27, well-matched with the Twins who are 24-27 when allowing at least one homer.