In the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (36-49) and the Atlanta Braves (36-49) at Miller Park, Tyler Cravy (0-1, 2.00 ERA) and Manny Banuelos (0-0, 0.00 ERA) take the mound. The Braves won the last game 5-3 and Atlanta leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jul. 7 and will air on SPSO and FSN-WI.
Garza is 0-4 with a 4.93 ERA against the Braves in his career, and faces a strong Atlanta offense that's hitting .257 on the year. The Braves were unsuccessful to the Nationals 2-1 the last time Banuelos pitched. He went 5.2 innings, allowing zero runs and striking out seven. Cameron Maybin (.297, 36 Rs, 7 HRs, 39 RBIs, 15 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs.
Milwaukee is a -135 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Brewers have a 14-17 record and overall money line at -1,063. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (6-1). Milwaukee has averaged 7.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.0.
Across the field, the Braves have a record of 28-35 when they are the underdog and are +551 overall with the money line. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.6 runs per game, below their 3.9 season average. The Braves average just 6.8 strikeouts per game, good for least in the NL.
The Braves are 4-1 against the Brewers this season. This game will feature Banuelos (LHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 10-8 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Braves will be the right-hander Garza. They sport a 34-35 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
Atlanta has won 42% (19-26) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Milwaukee has won 47% (17-19) of its games when taking a late lead.
After a weak showing last week where they got in eight hits, the Brewers need to step it up. The Braves have a record of 30-12 when opponents get eight hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 6-40. The Braves have an 8-28 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 51 this season. Milwaukee ranks 13th with 76 home runs.
Milwaukee and Atlanta both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at ninth with 8.54 hits per game and Atlanta ranks seventh with 8.63.
Ranking 23rd, Atlanta is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.685). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .696.
The Braves are 15-27 when they allow at least one home run. The Brewers perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 22-33 record.