Jake Arrieta (8-5, 2.80 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (44-37) go up against Tyler Lyons (2-0, 5.09 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (54-28) in the second of a four-game division series at Wrigley Field. The Cardinals won the last game 6-0 and St. Louis leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 1:20 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jul. 7 and will air on FSN-MW, WGN and MLB Network.
Arrieta has a 1.48 ERA and a 3-1 record in his career against the Cardinals, but is up against a solid St. Louis offense that's hitting .259 on the year. Anthony Rizzo (.292, 44 Rs, 15 HRs, 45 RBIs, 12 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Cubs, Lyons is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA. He gets a struggling Chicago offense that's batting just .239. Jhonny Peralta (.297, 36 Rs, 11 HRs, 42 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Cubs have an SU record of 17-17 against teams in their division. Chicago has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Chicago has only averaged 2.3 runs per game compared to the 3.9 they've averaged on the season. Chicago's pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 2.4 during that span, compared to its 3.7 season average. The Cubs don't allow many hitters to get on base, leading the league with a 1.17 WHIP. The have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, leading the NL with 8.7 strikeouts per game.
Against divisional rivals, the Cardinals are 22-8 SU. The Cardinals are a problem for opposing batters, sporting an NL-low 2.59 ERA this season. They have a WHIP of 1.19 on the year, good for third in the league. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 8.1 strikeouts per game.
The Cardinals have gotten the best of the Cubs in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-2. This game will feature Lyons (LHP) on the mound against the Cubs, who have not lost a game (4-0) when they take on a left-handed starter at home.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL
The Cardinals sit at 23-8 against their divisional rivals, while the Cubs are 17-18.
When leading after 7 innings, St. Louis is 22-9, while Chicago is 17-16.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Cubs are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Cardinals have an 8-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Cubs are 9-27. The Cardinals have a 13-19 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 25th in home runs, St. Louis has hit 63 this season. Chicago ranks 14th with 75 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Chicago is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.18 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.78.
Ranking 22nd, Chicago is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.692). St. Louis ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .716.
When the Cardinals allow at least one home run, they are 23-20. When the Cubs allow one or more homers, they have a 22-24 record.