In the last of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (46-38) and the Cincinnati Reds (46-38) at Nationals Park, Gio Gonzalez (6-4, 4.16 ERA) and Michael Lorenzen (3-3, 3.58 ERA) get the start. The Reds won the last game 5-0 and Cincinnati leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and will air on FSN-OH and MASN.
Gonzalez is 2-1 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.86 WHIP against the Reds in his career. Bryce Harper (.343, 58 Rs, 25 HRs, 60 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Nationals, Lorenzen is 0-0 with a 2.84 ERA, four strikeouts and six walks. Joey Votto (.281, 42 Rs, 15 HRs, 42 RBIs, 5 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs.
Washington, a -170 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Nationals have a 38-26 record and overall money line at +25. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the NL with an average of 3.1 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Nationals rank third in the NL in home ERA with a 2.79 team average. The Nationals are third in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.2 per game.
Switching gears, the Reds come into this game with a weak win percentage of .341 when playing as the underdog (15-29) and an overall money line of -777. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-3 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 3-7. The Reds have racked up 83 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league.
In their previous five games this season, the Reds have a 5-0 record. The Nationals will take on a right-hander (Lorenzen) in this game and have a 34-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the left-hander Gonzalez. They sport a 9-11 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - WSH, O/U - Over
After last game's shutout win against the Washington Nationals, the Reds now have four shutouts this season. The Nationals have been shut out in five games this season.
Cincinnati has won 42% (14-19) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Washington has won 59% (24-17) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Nationals are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have a 4-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Nationals, as the Reds have won their last two games while the Nationals have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 30-10. The Nationals have a 35-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, Cincinnati has earned 326 this season. Washington ranks ninth with 360 runs.
Washington and Cincinnati both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. Washington sits at eighth with 262 this season and Cincinnati ranks 10th with 252.
When the Nationals hit at least one home run, they are 33-16. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 32-22 record.