Trevor Bauer (7-5, 3.88 ERA) and Dan Straily (0-0, 7.71 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Cleveland Indians (39-44) and the Houston Astros (49-37) at Progressive Field. The Indians won the last game 2-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and can be seen on ROOT-SW and STO.
Bauer pitched 6.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking one in a 5-2 win over the Pirates. David Murphy (.329, 21 Rs, 5 HRs, 24 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one RBI. When pitching against the Indians, Straily is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, and seven strikeouts. George Springer (.264, 43 Rs, 13 HRs, 29 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
Cleveland is a -140 favorite against Houston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Indians have an overall money line of -1,520 and a record as the favorite of 25-28. Cleveland is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Cleveland leads the whole AL in walks at home, earning an average of 4.0 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Indians, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 9.3.
In games where it is the underdog, Houston has a 25-18 record and an overall money line of +1,080. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is second in the AL. The Astros are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the AL with 9.2 hits per road game. The Astros are an excellent base stealing team with 68 stolen bases, ranking third in the MLB. Houston's pitching staff is one of the top in the AL at pitching on the road, with a 3.81 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Astros are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.20 for the season.
The Indians lead the season series, 3-2. The Indians have a 26-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Straily takes the mound. Bauer (RHP) will be on the hill against the Astros, who have a very good 32-19 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
Cleveland earned its sixth shutout of the season in its last game. Houston has been shut out five times this season.
The Astros are 4-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Indians are 2-2 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Astros are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Indians have a 6-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Astros are 35-9. The Indians have a 32-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th in runs, Cleveland has earned 331 this season. Houston ranks second with 388 runs.
Ranking seventh, Houston is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 266 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at second with 295.
When the Indians hit at least one home run, they are 31-17, well-matched with the Astros who are 39-21 when hitting one or more homers.