Chris Archer (9-5, 2.18 ERA) is on the hill for the Tampa Bay Rays (43-43) as they square off against Jeremy Guthrie (6-5, 5.42 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (48-33) in the third of a four-game series at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won the last game 7-1 and Kansas City leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and can be seen on SunSports and FSN-KC.
Guthrie is 9-11 with a 3.97 ERA in his appearances against the Rays, and goes up against a below-average Tampa Bay offense which is batting just .240 this season. Kendrys Morales (.282, 39 Rs, 10 HRs, 54 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Archer is 0-1 with a 2.84 ERA when pitching against the Royals. He takes on a good Kansas City offense which is hitting .270 this season. Logan Forsythe (.281, 33 Rs, 8 HRs, 34 RBIs, 7 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Tampa Bay takes on Kansas City as a -128 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Royals have an overall money line of +1,201 and a record as the underdog of 20-16. Opposing offenses have been stifled by the Royals, who have a team ERA of only 3.52. The Royals are the third-best team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 7.9 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Tampa Bay has a 21-19 record and an overall money line of +eight. The Rays are an excellent base stealing team with 61 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. Tampa Bay's pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an AL-low 3.40 ERA.
The Royals have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Royals have a 33-20 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Archer takes the mound. Guthrie (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 28-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Over
When leading after 7 innings, Kansas City is 20-11, while Tampa Bay is 16-17.
The Royals managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Rays who are coming in with a 15-7 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Royals have a slight leg up on the Rays, as the Royals have won their last three games while the Rays have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 30-11. The Royals have a 41-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, Tampa Bay sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 312 this season. Kansas City ranks in the top half at 14th with 347.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 180 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 232.
When the Royals hit at least one home run, they are 31-14. When the Rays hit at least one homer, they have a 30-21 record.