The Toronto Blue Jays have their backs against the wall but are at home as they try and stay alive in the American League Championship Series against the Cleveland Indians with Game 4 taking place on Tuesday with a telecast on TBS at 4:08 PM ET from Rogers Centre.  Mike Clevinger will take the mound as the starter for the Indians while Aaron Sanchez will get the start for the Blue Jays. Let’s look at this matchup and MLB predictions.

Kluber on Short Rest

Corey Kluer has been outstanding in the playoffs this seasonso as he has wins over Boston and Toronto. He has yet to allow a run in 13.1 innings and has allowed just 9 hits with 13 strikeouts.

Cody Allen had 32 saves with a 2.51 earned run average during the regular season as he struck out 87 batters in 68 innings of work.  In the post season he is yet to allow an earned run in five innings of work.

Lonnie Chisenhall has been the top batter for the Tribe during the post season with a 438 average and 1.096 OPS. Carlos Santana and Mike Napoli were the big bats in the regular season with 34 home runs each.

Sanchez Gives Jays an Advantage

Aaron Sanchez had a regular season mark of 15-2 with a 3.00 earned run average and a WHIP of 1.17.  The concern is that he was shelled in his only previous post season start allowing six earned runs in just 5.2 innings of work. The Blue Jays have a strong closer in Roberto Osuna.  Osuna had 36 saves with a 2.68 earned run average and a record of 4-3. 

Edwin Encarnacion has had the big bat for the Blue Jays with three home runs in the playoffs with an OPS of 1.227 and batting average of .348 with seven runs batted in.  He had a team high 42 home runs during the regular season.

Game Notes

Cleveland last won a World Series in 1948 with their last World Series appearance in 1997.  But for all of the Cleveland jokes and negativity one only has to look at LeBron James and the NBA Cavaliers who rallied to win the city’s first pro sports championship since 1964.  That has taken away a huge psychological barrier and proven that a team from Cleveland does not have to be jinxed with an automatic losing fate.

Game Trends

The Blue Jays have been a decent home betting value with 11 payouts out of their last 19 home games.  Toronto has gone under the total in 10 out of their last 13 home games. 

Cleveland has won seven out of their last ten away games with just four out of their last nine away games going over the total.

Toronto has come away with the cash in seven out of their last 12 home games against the Indians with 7 out of the last 10 games at Toronto between the Blue Jays and Indians going under the total.

MLB Predictions

I will lay the price and take Toronto to stay alive in the series.