Charlie Morton (6-2, 4.30 ERA) and Andrew Cashner (3-9, 4.06 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (49-34) and the San Diego Padres (39-47) at PNC Park. The Pirates won the last game 3-2 and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and can be seen on FSN-SD and ROOT-PIT.
Morton is 4-1 with a 2.65 ERA in his appearances against the Padres, and goes up against a below-average San Diego offense which is batting just .239 this season. Andrew McCutchen (.301, 45 Rs, 10 HRs, 52 RBIs, 5 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Cashner is 1-3 with a 0.95 ERA when pitching against the Pirates. He takes on a good Pittsburgh offense which is hitting .257 this season.
Pittsburgh is a -140 favorite against San Diego and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Pirates have recorded an overall money line of +799 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 42-20. Pittsburgh is an impressive 7-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Pirates are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with an impressive 8.6 per game. Pittsburgh is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 62 bases. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Pirates, who have a team ERA of only 2.89. The Pirates are the fourth-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.2 hits per game to their opponents this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Pirates, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.1.
As for their opponent, San Diego is coming in with an overall money line of -753 and a disappointing record of 18-29 as the underdog. Offensively, the Padres have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 2.3 during that stretch. The Padres have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.3 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Pirates lead the season series, 4-2. The Pirates have a 40-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cashner takes the mound. Morton (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 29-38 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Padres lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Pirates are 18-13. The Padres are 10-14 in close games this season.
The Padres are 6-3 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Pirates are 4-7 in such matchups.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Pirates have a 23-23 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Padres are 7-36. The Pirates have a 9-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 63 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 70.
Ranking 13th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.16 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.91.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.662). Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .698.
When the Padres allow at least one home run, they are 19-32, well-matched with the Pirates who are 15-24 when allowing at least one homer.