Jake Peavy (0-3, 6.43 ERA) and Jacob deGrom (8-6, 2.30 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the San Francisco Giants (43-42) and the New York Mets (43-42) at AT&T Park. The Giants won the last game 3-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 3:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and can be seen on SNY, CSN-BAY and MLB Network.
Peavy is 6-3 with a 3.45 ERA in his appearances against the Mets, and goes up against a below-average New York offense which is batting just .232 this season. Matt Duffy (.287, 31 Rs, 8 HRs, 37 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. When pitching against the Giants, deGrom is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, and seven strikeouts. Curtis Granderson (.251, 43 Rs, 13 HRs, 29 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
New York is a narrow -109 favorite over San Francisco. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at six runs for this matchup. The Giants have an overall money line of -445 and a record as the underdog of 22-18. San Francisco has gone winless (0-5) as the underdog and 2-8 SU in its last 10 outings. San Francisco strikes out the least of any team in the NL at home, with only 6.4 per game.
As for their opponent, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +124 and an impressive record of 33-13 as the favorite. New York's pitching staff is one of the top in the NL at pitching on the road, with a 3.71 ERA. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.19 for the season.
The Giants lead the season series, 3-2. The Giants have a 31-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when deGrom takes the mound. Peavy (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 36-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
San Francisco won its last game in a shutout, its 13th of the season. New York has been shut out 10 times this season.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 18-16, while San Francisco is 13-13.
The Giants managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mets who are coming in with a 20-6 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 3-26. The Mets have an 11-35 record when opponents outhit them.
San Francisco and New York both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. San Francisco sits at 23rd with 68 home runs this season and New York ranks 24th with 65.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.74 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at second with 9.12.
Ranking 29th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.654). San Francisco ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .724.
The Mets are 17-27 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Giants are 21-28 when they allow at least one homer.