Clayton Kershaw (5-6, 3.08 ERA) and Adam Morgan (1-1, 2.13 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (47-38) and the Philadelphia Phillies (29-57) at Dodger Stadium. The Phillies won the last game 7-2 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and SportsNet LA.
Kershaw is 2-4 with a 3.34 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 67 strikeouts against the Phillies. Yasmani Grandal (.277, 32 Rs, 14 HRs, 36 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Morgan went 7.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking two in a 2-1 defeat to the Braves in his last outing. Maikel Franco (.296, 30 Rs, 10 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
This one isn't expected to be close when Los Angeles, a big -358 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently seven runs. The Dodgers have an overall money line of -842 and a record as the favorite of 41-34. The Dodgers have no trouble scoring as they rank fourth in the NL in offense with 4.2 runs per game. The Dodgers are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 267. Los Angeles leads the whole NL in walks, earning an average of 3.6 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Dodgers, who have a team ERA of only 3.29. The Dodgers are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.1 hits per game so far this season.
As for their opponent, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -2,068 and a disappointing record of 25-51 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-7 record, and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.4 runs per game by averaging 4.6 during that stretch.
The Dodgers have a bad 2-5 record at home (4-9 overall) against left-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Morgan takes the mound. Kershaw (LHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against left-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 2-8 and 5-12, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Under
When leading after 7 innings, Los Angeles is 19-15, while Philadelphia is 14-29.
The Dodgers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Phillies who are coming in with a 9-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 8-43. The Dodgers have a 10-27 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 56 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top five at third with 107.
Los Angeles and Philadelphia both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at 12th with 8.30 hits per game and Philadelphia ranks 11th with 8.39.
Ranking 27th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.664). Los Angeles ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .761.
When the Phillies allow at least one home run, they are 13-38. When the Dodgers allow one or more homers, they have a 19-25 record.