J.A. Happ (4-5, 3.93 ERA) and the Seattle Mariners (39-45) go up against Anibal Sanchez (7-7, 4.65 ERA) and the Detroit Tigers (42-41) in the last of a three-game series at Safeco Field. The Mariners won the last game 7-6 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 3:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and will air on FSN-DET, ROOT-NW and MLB.
Happ has a 2.30 ERA and a 1-0 record in his career against the Tigers, but faces a strong Detroit offense that's hitting .280 on the year. Nelson Cruz (.302, 41 Rs, 21 HRs, 50 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4. In his pitching opportunities against the Mariners, Sanchez is 0-0 with a 2.19 ERA. He meets a less-than-stellar Seattle offense that's batting just .231. Miguel Cabrera (.350, 43 Rs, 15 HRs, 54 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Tigers, going 2 for 2 yesterday with one RBI.
Seattle is a -120 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a 20-29 record and overall money line at -1,309. They have struggled as the favorite over their last 10 games, going 0-3.
Switching gears, the Tigers come into this game with a win percentage of .444 when playing as the underdog (16-20) and an overall money line of -65. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-3 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. During the last 10 games, they averaged 6.1 runs per game, above their 4.5 season average. Detroit is the top hitting team in the AL with an average of 9.8 hits per contest. Detroit's pitching staff has allowed an average of 6.2 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.6.
The Mariners will take on a right-hander (Sanchez) in this game and have a 31-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Happ will take the mound against the Tigers, who have an 11-8 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games.
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Seattle.
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle.
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
When leading after 7 innings, Detroit is 19-17, while Seattle is 11-16.
The Mariners are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Tigers have a 15-24 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 4-29. The Mariners have a 12-28 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 13th in home runs, Detroit has hit 80 this season. Seattle ranks ninth with 89 home runs.
Detroit tops the league in hits with 9.78 per game this season. Seattle ranks in the top half at 15th with 7.76.
Ranking 26th, Seattle is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.670). Detroit ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .770.
The Tigers are 18-31 when they allow at least one home run. The Mariners perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 16-36 record.