MLB Regular Season
Matchup: New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
Date/Time: July 10, 7:10 p.m. ET
Pitching Matchup: Michael Pineda (8-5, 3.79) vs. Clay Buchholz (7-6, 3.27)
MLB Betting Odds From BetDSI Sportsbook
Moneyline: Boston -125
The next chapters in the storied New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox rivalry will be written this weekend. The Yankees improved to 46-39 with a series-winning victory over the Oakland Athletics on Thursday afternoon. The Red Sox had the day off after finishing off a brief two-game sweep of the Miami Marlins to improve to 41-45 on the season. This will be the seventh meeting of the season between the two teams, as the Yankees have won four of the previous six games.
This head-to-head rivalry dates back to 1903, when the New York Highlanders and Boston Americans played for the first time on May 7. The Americans won the game 6-2. The Americans also won the World Series that year, the first one in franchise history and the first of five in a 15-year span. As everybody knows, the Red Sox went from 1918 to 2004 without winning a World Series.
Both teams are off to good starts in the month of July. The Yankees are 5-2 as they continue to set the pace in the American League East Division. The Red Sox are also 5-2 in July as they try to dig out of the big hole that they put themselves in during a 10-19 month of May. The Red Sox have turned things around offensively since then, scoring 169 runs over their last 35 games. The 4.8 runs per game that they have averaged in that span is among the best in the American League. They will need to have their hitting shoes on this weekend against a Yankees offense that ranks third in the American League in runs scored and home runs.
Michael Pineda has had a very interesting year for the Yankees. For one thing, he has stayed healthy, something he has not done since 2011 when he made his Major League debut for the Seattle Mariners. Since that time, Pineda has battled various injuries and missed all of 2012 and most of 2013. Pineda has exhibited excellent control this season with a stikeout-to-walk ratio of better than 8-to-1. Like other Yankees hurlers, Pineda has been hurt by the team’s poor defensive play. Pineda has had a tough time dealing with his .347 BABIP against, as he has a 3.79 ERA, but shining peripherals with a 2.57 FIP and a 2.62 xFIP.
On the other side, Clay Buchholz has also fallen victim to some bad batted ball luck this season. His hasn’t been as extreme as Pineda’s, however. Opponents have a .326 BABIP against Buchholz, but he has a similar strikeout-to-walk ratio to Pineda and that’s why he has posted a 3.27 ERA with a 2.54 FIP and a 3.15 xFIP. Like Pineda, health has always been the issue for Buchholz. He was limited to 16 Major League starts in 2013 while battling injuries. E seems to have found a comfortable groove of late, as he has allowed only three earned runs over his last four stars covering 31 innings of work. In that span, he also has a 23/2 K/BB ratio.
Pick: Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox seem to have things on the right track and have their most reliable starter on the mound. These games are always long and hard-fought, so that may favor the Red Sox, who had Thursday off. Amazingly, Pineda has not faced the Red Sox yet this season, so that could be a small advantage to the Yankees, but Buchholz is locked into a comfortable groove.