MLB Regular Season

Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets

Date/Time: July 10, 7:10 p.m. ET

Pitching Matchup: Chase Anderson (4-2, 3.71) vs. Noah Syndergaard (3-4, 3.38)

MLB Betting Odds From BetDSI Sportsbook

Moneyline: New York -130

Total: 6.5

A pitcher’s duel is expected at Citi Field when the Arizona Diamondbacks visit the New York Mets on Friday night to open up a three-game series before the All-Star Break. Chase Anderson is on the hill for the surging Diamondbacks, who have finally reached the .500 mark on the season. The Mets are coming off of a big series win over the San Francisco Giants and a rather successful road trip against the top two teams in the National League West.

The Mets enter this series trailing the Washington Nationals by three games in the National League East. By virtue of San Francisco’s struggles, the Diamondbacks have climbed into a tie for second place in the NL West and trail by five games. If nothing else, Arizona has managed to become relevant in the chance for the second wild card spot. Paul Goldschmidt has been a big reason why. Goldschmidt should be the most valuable player in the NL if he continues this pace. He has posted a .349/.466/.618 slash line with 20 home runs and 16 steals. The Mets don’t have anybody putting up numbers anywhere close to that, but Mets starters do have a 2.98 ERA as a group over the last 30 days as the youth movement continues.

The Diamondbacks offense has been a big boost lately, but it has been Chase Anderson that has held the pitching staff together. Anderson has just four wins in his 16 starts, but he has been a steady force in the Diamondbacks rotation with a 3.71 ERA on the season. His advanced metrics have soured on his performance with a 4.08 FIP and a 4.22 xFIP because of a six percent drop in strikeouts this season. Anderson’s secondary offerings haven’t had the same kind of bite this season, as evidenced by a drop in his swing-and-miss rate on pitches outside of the zone. But, the benefit to contact on bad pitches is that it is rarely hard contact and Anderson has a very strong defensive infield behind him.

Noah Syndergaard is one of the promising youngsters in the New York Mets rotation. Syndergaard joined Matt Harvey and Jacob deGrom to form a very impressive 1-2-3 punch atop the rotation, alongside crafty veterans Jon Niese and Bartolo Colon. The Mets continue to roll with a six-man rotation that includes another high-quality young arm in Steven Matz.

Syndergaard, who goes by the nickname “Thor, has deserved a better fate most of the season. He has a 3-4 record in 10 starts, but has elite peripherals with a 5/1 K/BB ratio, a 2.89 FIP, and a 3.09 xFIP. His 3.38 ERA is skewed by a strange start in San Diego where Syndergaard allowed seven runs on 10 hits, but also struck out 10 batters over four innings of work. Syndergaard has only allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts as he continues to learn how to attack Major League hitters.

Pick: New York Mets

The Mets returned home after a big road trip, which could have been a letdown spot, but they, like Arizona, had Thursday off. The Diamondbacks likely did some sightseeing on their day off, so no team has an edge based on the situation. The Mets should have an advantage in the pitching matchup here, as Syndergaard has more dominant stuff than the pitch-to-contact stylings of Anderson.