The Baltimore Orioles visit the New York Yankees on Friday in the opener of a three-game series. It is a critical game for the Orioles as they are looking to hold off Detroit and Seattle for the last Wild Card spot in the American League. It should be Yovani Gallardo getting the start for Baltimore while the Yankees send Michael Pineda. Let’s look at the game and MLB picks.
Probable Pitching Matchup – Gallardo vs. Pineda
Gallardo finally had a decent start last time out as he went six innings against Arizona and allowed just two runs. Even with that outing, Gallardo is 1-1 in his last three starts with a 5.65 ERA. Gallardo has made just three quality starts in his last seven outings and he is 5-8 on the season with a 5.63 ERA. Gallardo has faced the Yankees twice this season and Baltimore lost both games.
Pineda is coming off a good outing as he went 5.2 innings against Toronto last time out and allowed just one run. It was the fifth straight no-decision for Pineda who has not won since early August. Pineda has a 2.66 ERA this month. He is 6-11 on the season with a 4.68 ERA. Pineda has pitched twice against the Orioles this season and the Yankees won both games with each game going under the total.
The Orioles were 36-41 in their first 77 road games with 39 going over and 38 going under. Baltimore is scoring about 4.6 runs per game and allowing 4.3 runs per contest.
New York was 46-31 in their first 77 home games with 33 going over, 39 going under with 5 pushes. New York is scoring 4.2 runs per game and allowing just over 4.1 per contest.
The Orioles are 5-2 in their last 7 road games. The Orioles are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. the American League East. The Orioles are 2-6 in Gallardo’s last 8 starts. The Orioles are 1-6 in Gallardo’s last 7 starts vs. the American League East. The Orioles are 5-13 in the last 18 meetings in New York.
The Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
The Under is 52-20-1 in the Orioles last 73 overall. The Under is 26-10-1 in the Orioles last 37 vs. the American League East. The Over is 4-1 in Gallardo’s last 5 road starts. The Under is 5-2 in the Yankees last 7 vs. the American League East. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in this series and the Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in New York.
This is a game that the Orioles really need to win but how can you trust Gallardo? It is also hard to trust Pineda even though he has pitched better of late. I will avoid a side and just take this game over the total.