Is there a formula the Boston Red Sox can use to win some games?
Sure - it involves scoring more than a few runs every once in while.
That hasn't happened often enough lately, but perhaps they can get it done against a downtrodden starting pitcher for the Detroit Tigers.
These teams meet up in the Sunday night ESPN game that gets underway at 8:05 PM ET at Fenway Park, where the BoSox are under the .500 mark for the season. And guess what? The baseball betting action doesn't have to cease when they throw out the opening pitch; BetAnySports customers can follow the action on television as it's happening and make wagers on the side, total and numerous by using Live Betting Extra. It's like nothing you've ever experienced before.
With a skid that has now reached nine losses in the last ten games, the Red Sox have dropped to 43-55, which has them twelve games off the pace in the American League East. They have been in last place since June 9. The Tigers (48-49) are in third place in the AL Central, 10.5 games behind the Kansas City Royals, but they are only four games out of the second wild card spot. For a team that has won four straight division titles, this is obviously quite a comedown. And maybe they are thinking of doing some "selling" in Motown as the trade deadline approaches.
Rookie Eduardo Rodriguez (5-3, 4.64 ERA) was banged around pretty good by the Angeles last time out, and he gets the start for Boston, while Shane Greene (4-7, 6.52), who's sort of been banged around as a rule, will get the call for Detroit.
In the baseball betting odds that have been posted on this game by the folks at BetAnySports, the Red Sox are favored at home:
Boston Red Sox (Rodriguez) -136
Detroit Tigers (Greene) +126
Under 9.5 runs -120
Over 9.5 runs +100
Rodriguez has made ten starts for the Red Sox, and seven of them have been pretty damn good. The other three have resembled one of those prizefights where it was mercifully stopped early by the referee, but only after much damage had been done. Last Monday, in the first game of a doubleheader, he was yanked after an inning and two-thirds, but not until he had surrendered seven runs at Anaheim. That brought his ERA from 3.59 to 4.64. He has taken the other two beatings at Fenway, but he has also been very sharp at home in winning efforts the Red Sox have had against the Twins, Astros and Yankees - three teams that are right there in the playoff hunt.
BetAnySports customers may remember Greene came out like a house afire, yielding just one run and twelve hits in 23 innings while winning his first three outings. So there was some excitement surrounding this right-hander who was somewhat serviceable as a rookie for the Yankees last season, registering an Adjusted ERA+ of 104. But there were trouble signs last year; namely, the fact that he gave up 29 walks in 78-2/3 innings, and this season he is not throwing the ball by hitters at all. In fact, the K's per nine innings have dipped from 9.3 to 5.5, and that is precipitous to say the least. As a residual effect, the ERA+ figure has fallen dramatically as well (to 60).
Those things have a tendency to catch up eventually, and let's say the league has caught up with Greene, and then some, In his last five starts, all of which the Tigers have lost, he has allowed 28 earned runs in 18-1/3 innings. In case you care to do the math, that's a 13.75 ERA over that period. That's also a ratio of 1.21 hits per run allowed, which is unusual. He's had seven starts on the road, resulting in an 8.44 ERA, and he's surrendered nine homers in 32 innings.
But as we said, the Red Sox have to score some runs to capitalize, even if Rodriguez bounces back with a strong outing. They're hitting .276 at home (where they are 23-24), but have scored just 16 runs over their last nine games.
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