Mike Foltynewicz (7-5, 4.30 ERA) and Jarred Cosart (0-1, 4.23 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (50-83) and the San Diego Padres (55-77) at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 8-1, and Atlanta leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Sep. 1 and can be seen on FSSD and FSSE.
Foltynewicz pitched 7.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run, striking out six and walking one in a 3-1 win over the Giants. Matt Kemp (.258, 67 Rs, 26 HRs, 86 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Cosart went 5.0 innings, surrendering two, striking out three and walking two in a 7-6 defeat to the Marlins in his last outing. Wil Myers (.260, 81 Rs, 23 HRs, 73 RBIs, 24 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one stolen base.
Atlanta is a -129 favorite against San Diego and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Braves have recorded an overall money line of -873 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 4-11. The Braves have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. Atlanta's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.5 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.9.
As for their opponent, San Diego is coming in with an overall money line of -270 and a disappointing record of 41-69 as the underdog. The Padres are an excellent base stealing team with 110 stolen bases, ranking fourth in the MLB.
The Braves lead the season series, 3-2. The Braves have a 35-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cosart takes the mound. Foltynewicz (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 39-58 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ATL, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, San Diego is 23-31, while Atlanta is 16-32.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Padres are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 20-3 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 7-58. The Padres have a 12-58 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 92 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 150.
Atlanta and San Diego both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Atlanta sits at 11th with 8.42 hits per game and San Diego ranks 15th with 7.96.
Atlanta and San Diego both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Atlanta sits at 29th with an OPS of .687, and San Diego ranks 28th with an OPS of .697.
The Padres are 27-54 when they allow at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 23-64 record.