Ricky Nolasco (4-12, 5.24 ERA) and the Los Angeles Angels (58-74) go up against Brandon Finnegan (8-9, 4.27 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (55-76) in the last of a three-game interleague series at Angel Stadium. The Angels won the last game 4-2, and Los Angeles leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 31 and will air on FSOH and FSW.
In his last start, Nolasco pitched 6.1 innings, giving up four runs, striking out two and walking three in a 4-2 loss to the Tigers. Mike Trout (.319, 102 Rs, 25 HRs, 84 RBIs, 21 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs. The Reds were unsuccessful against the Diamondbacks 4-3 the last time Finnegan pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out 12 and walking two. Joey Votto (.310, 83 Rs, 22 HRs, 78 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Reds, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Los Angeles, a -133 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Cincinnati. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Angels have a 27-24 record and overall money line at -1,437. They have performed well against the NL to earn a SU record of 7-11, but only have a 4-3 record when they were the favorite. Don't expect the Los Angeles hitters to swing wildly. They average an AL-low 6.0 strikeouts per game. Over their past 10 games, Los Angeles's pitchers have been playing lights out, only allowing 3.2 runs per game, below their season average of 4.7.
On the other side, the Reds have a subpar record of 36-69 when they are the underdog and are -589 overall with the money line. Interleague opponents have easily gained the upper hand against lackluster Cincinnati. The Reds hold a record of 3-13 in games where they were ranked as the underdog and a 5-13 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.7 runs per game, above their 4.5 season average. The Reds have racked up 114 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league.
The previous two games have all gone Los Angeles's way. This game will feature Finnegan (LHP) on the mound against the Angels, who have a 17-17 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Nolasco. They sport a 45-56 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAA, O/U - Over
Los Angeles has won 43% (25-33) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Cincinnati has won 45% (30-36) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Reds are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Angels have a 6-25 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they are outhit, the Angels are 8-58. The Reds have a 9-58 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, Los Angeles ranks 25th with 131 homers and Cincinnati is 21st with 143.
Los Angeles and Cincinnati both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at sixth with 8.90 hits per game and Cincinnati ranks 10th with 8.43.
Ranking 24th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.721). Los Angeles ranks in the bottom half at 16th with an OPS of .739.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 37-64, well-matched with the Angels who are 32-60 when allowing at least one homer.