Matt Garza (4-6, 4.89 ERA) and Luke Weaver (1-1, 3.60 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (56-76) and the St. Louis Cardinals (70-61) at Miller Park. The Brewers lost the last game 2-1, continuing a six-game losing streak. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 31 and can be seen on FSMW and FSWI.
Garza pitched 5.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs (five unearned), striking out nine and walking three in a 5-3 defeat to the Pirates. Ryan Braun (.313, 67 Rs, 24 HRs, 74 RBIs, 14 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Weaver went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking two in a 3-1 win over the Athletics in his most recent start. Matt Carpenter (.286, 68 Rs, 17 HRs, 58 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
St. Louis takes on Milwaukee as a -142 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at nine runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -1,191 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 36-58. Milwaukee has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 13-29 and 17-34 as the underdog and SU respectively. Milwaukee leads the MLB in steals, swiping 147 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, St. Louis has a 48-41 record and an overall money line of -382. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 21-14 record against teams in their division, and a 29-22 record SU. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Cardinals are tough outs for opponents, ranking fifth in the NL with 8.9 hits per game.
The Cardinals have controlled the season series, 11-3. The Brewers have a bad 32-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Weaver takes the mound. Garza (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a 51-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Brewers are struggling at 17-35 in their division, while the Cardinals are 30-22.
Milwaukee has won 42% (23-32) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, St. Louis has won 56% (32-25) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cardinals are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 12 strikeouts. The Brewers have a record of 11-23 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 11-63. The Cardinals have a 14-53 record when opponents outhit them.
Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 148 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top five at third with 188.
Ranking 13th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.07 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top five with 8.90.
Ranking 21st, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.729). St. Louis ranks in the top five at fourth with an OPS of .779.
When the Cardinals allow at least one home run, they are 37-40. When the Brewers allow one or more homers, they have a 34-58 record.