Bartolo Colon (12-7, 3.44 ERA) and David Phelps (7-6, 2.52 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the New York Mets (68-64) and the Miami Marlins (67-65) at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 7-4, and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 31 and can be seen on SNY and FSFL.
Colon pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out six and walking two in a 9-4 win over the Phillies. Jay Bruce (.246, 66 Rs, 27 HRs, 86 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. Phelps went 3.2 innings, surrendering four runs (one unearned), striking out six and walking three in a 7-6 win over the Padres in his most recent start. Giancarlo Stanton (.244, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 70 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
New York is a -123 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have an overall money line of -1,077 and a record as the favorite of 48-39. New York is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. The Mets are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 177. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Mets. The 3.9 runs that New York's pitchers allow per game makes them the third-ranked staff in the NL. The Mets are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.7 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 35-30 record and an overall money line of -126. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games while playing as the underdog, and have a 5-5 SU record over the same span. Offensively, the Marlins have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 2.6 during that stretch. The Marlins allow 4.1 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 2.6 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Marlins are fourth in the NL with an average of 8.3 hits allowed per game.
The Mets lead the season series, 9-5. The Mets have a 50-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Phelps takes the mound. Colon (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 46-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets are 27-25 against their divisional rivals, while the Marlins are 22-30 against their division.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Marlins have a 23-42 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
It looks like the Mets have a slight leg up on the Marlins, as the Mets have won their last two games while the Marlins have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 55-16. The Mets have a 47-11 record when outhitting opponents.
New York and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. New York sits at 28th with 518 runs this season and Miami ranks 23rd with 546.
New York and Miami both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. New York sits at 16th with 402 this season and Miami ranks 20th with 376.
The Mets are 59-34 when they hit at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 47-31 record.