In the second of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (49-83) and the San Diego Padres (55-76) at Turner Field, Matt Wisler (5-11, 4.92 ERA) and Paul Clemens (2-3, 5.06 ERA) take the mound. The Braves won the last game 7-3, and Atlanta leads the series 1-0. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 31 and will air on FSSD and FSSE.
In his last start, Wisler pitched 8.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out four and walking three in a 3-1 victory over the Diamondbacks. Freddie Freeman (.290, 79 Rs, 27 HRs, 65 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI. The Padres were unsuccessful against the Cubs 6-3 the last time Clemens pitched. He went 5.1 innings, allowing five runs (one unearned) and striking out six. Yangervis Solarte (.270, 45 Rs, 13 HRs, 53 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Atlanta, a -136 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against San Diego. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Braves have a losing record of 3-11 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -973. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Braves has gone great. Over that span, Atlanta is averaging 5.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.7. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Atlanta pitchers. The Braves have given up an average of 6.9 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 5.0 runs per game.
Switching gears, the Padres come into this game with a weak win percentage of .376 when playing as the underdog (41-68) and an overall money line of -170. The Padres have racked up 109 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league.
The Braves will take on a right-hander (Clemens) in this game and have a 34-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Wisler will take the mound against the Padres, who have a 39-57 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - SD, O/U - Over
Atlanta has won 33% (16-32) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, San Diego has won 43% (23-31) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Padres managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Braves who are heading in with a 3-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 37-19. The Padres have a 40-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Atlanta is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 492 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 564.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 375 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 13th with 405.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 27-33. When the Padres hit at least one homer, they have a 45-39 record.