In the second of a three-game series between the Cleveland Indians (74-56) and the Minnesota Twins (49-82) at Progressive Field, Josh Tomlin (11-8, 4.70 ERA) and Andrew Albers (0-0, 4.32 ERA) take the mound. The Twins lost the last game 1-0, extending an 11-game losing streak. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 30 and will air on STOh and FSN.
In his last start, Tomlin pitched 4.1 innings, allowing eight runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking two in a 9-0 loss to the Rangers. Mike Napoli (.255, 79 Rs, 29 HRs, 88 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday. The Twins were unsuccessful against the Blue Jays 15-8 the last time Albers pitched. He went 2.1 innings, allowing two and striking out one. Brian Dozier (.270, 83 Rs, 30 HRs, 78 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Cleveland is a considerable -215 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at nine runs. The Indians have a winning record of 59-39 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +377. They have performed well against their division to earn a SU record of 34-17 and a 27-15 record when they were the favorite. The Indians come into the game with the third-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.9 runs per game. The Indians are an exceptional hitting team with 9.1 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the AL. They have been a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in all of baseball with 104 steals. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Indians are the best in the AL in hits allowed, giving up just 8.2 per game. An area where the Indians are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.6 K's per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Twins come into this game with a weak win percentage of .366 when playing as the underdog (37-64) and an overall money line of -2,284. Over the last 10 games, the team is winless both as the underdog with a 0-9 record and 0-10 SU. When it comes to scoring, the Twins haven't performed as well against teams from the AL Central. During those games, they averaged three runs per game, below their 4.5 runs per game season average. Minnesota's pitching staff has allowed an average of 7.5 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 5.5.
The Twins have mostly come out on top against the Indians in their previous 14 games this season, earning an 8-6 record. The Indians will take on a left-hander (Albers) in this game. They have done very well against left-handed starting pitchers this season (27-15), especially at home where they have a 16-5 record. The right-handed Tomlin will take the mound against the Twins. Against righty starters this season, they have an awful 34-63 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
The Indians hold a 34-17 record against the AL Central Division this season, while the Twins have a 15-36 record against the division.
Cleveland won its last game in a shutout, its 10th of the season. Minnesota has been shut out seven times this season.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Indians are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Twins have a 10-2 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the Twins are 8-67. The Indians have a 9-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Minnesota ranks in the bottom half of the league at 16th when it comes to home runs, hitting 152 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top half with 161.
Ranking sixth, Minnesota is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.87 per game. Cleveland ranks in the top five at third with 9.09.
Ranking 13th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.744). Cleveland ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .763.
When the Twins allow at least one home run, they are 35-67. When the Indians allow one or more homers, they have a 45-48 record.