Robert Gsellman (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and Vince Velasquez (8-6, 4.31 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (66-63) and the Philadelphia Phillies (59-70) at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 12-1, and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and can be seen on CSPh and SNY.
Gsellman pitched 3.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out two and walking three in a 7-4 win over the Cardinals. Yoenis Cespedes (.295, 55 Rs, 26 HRs, 67 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. Velasquez went 6.0 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 9-0 defeat to the Cardinals in his most recent start. Odubel Herrera (.283, 67 Rs, 13 HRs, 42 RBIs, 19 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a -133 favorite against Philadelphia and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Mets have an overall money line of -1,191 and a record as the favorite of 47-38. New York is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.9 runs per game. As for the New York defense and pitching staff, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Mets. The 3.9 runs that New York's pitchers allow per game makes them the third-ranked staff in the NL. The Mets are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.6 walks per game so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Philadelphia has a 41-56 record and an overall money line of +575. They are 13-18 as the underdog against NL East opponents, and 22-26 SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 3.1 in those contests. The Phillies allow 4.8 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.8 runs per game during that span.
The Mets lead the season series, 7-4. The Mets have a 48-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Velasquez takes the mound. Gsellman (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have a 45-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Mets are 25-24 against their divisional rivals, while the Phillies are 22-27 against their division.
When leading after seven innings, New York is 24-25, while Philadelphia is 29-32.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 25-2 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 14-56. The Mets have an 18-48 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 132 this season. New York ranks in the top five with 173.
New York and Philadelphia both rank in the top half of the league in hits. New York sits at 13th with 8.08 hits per game and Philadelphia ranks 12th with 8.13.
New York and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 22nd with an OPS of .726, and Philadelphia ranks 29th with an OPS of .688.
The Phillies are 27-56 when they allow at least one home run. The Mets perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 30-46 record.