CC Sabathia (8-10, 4.33 ERA) and the New York Yankees (67-61) meet Kevin Gausman (5-10, 3.92 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (70-59) in the last of a three-game division series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 13-5, and New York leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and will air on MASN and YES.
In his most recent outing, Sabathia pitched 7.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out seven and walking one in a 5-1 victory over the Mariners. Carlos Beltran (.288, 58 Rs, 24 HRs, 73 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. The Orioles were victorious over the Nationals 8-1 the last time Gausman pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out two and walking two. Manny Machado (.306, 90 Rs, 31 HRs, 81 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
New York is a +108 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. When playing as the underdog, the Yankees have a 23-33 record and overall money line at +109. They have not performed well against their division, earning a SU record of 21-27 and a 10-17 record when they were the underdog. New York has averaged 6.4 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.3. As for the pitching staff, the Yankees are the best in the AL in walks allowed, giving up just 2.5 per game. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, leading the AL with 8.8 strikeouts per game.
Switching to the opposing dugout, the Orioles come into this game with a solid win percentage of .681 when playing as the favorite (47-22) and an overall money line of +980. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 4-6 SU and has played well as the favorite with a 3-1 record. Baltimore is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 430 extra base hits. Baltimore's pitching staff has allowed an average of 8.0 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.7.
The Yankees have mostly come out on top against the Orioles in their previous 12 games this season, earning a 7-5 record. This game will feature Gausman (RHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 50-41 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the left-hander Sabathia. They sport a 17-18 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Yankees are 21-27 against their divisional rivals, while the Orioles are 26-23 against their division.
The Yankees are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 13 runs. The Orioles have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Yankees have a slight leg up on the Orioles, as the Yankees have won their last four games while the Orioles have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 46-9. The Yankees have a 52-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, New York has earned 552 this season. Baltimore ranks eighth with 610 runs.
Both New York and Baltimore are tied at 23rd in walks with a total of 365 this season.
The Yankees are 50-33 when they hit at least one home run. The Orioles perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 58-38 record.