Brock Stewart (0-2, 11.25 ERA) and Jon Lester (14-4, 2.81 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (72-57) and the Chicago Cubs (82-46) at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers won the last game 3-2, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and can be seen on CSCh, SNLA and TBS.
Stewart pitched 3.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out two and walking four in an 11-3 defeat to the Pirates. Corey Seager (.322, 87 Rs, 23 HRs, 62 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Lester went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out eight and walking two in a 5-1 win over the Padres in his most recent start. Anthony Rizzo (.299, 76 Rs, 25 HRs, 89 RBIs, 3 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Chicago takes on Los Angeles as a -158 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Dodgers have recorded an overall money line of -354 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 8-20. Los Angeles's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.0. The Dodgers are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.187 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Dodgers, who lead the NL in strikeouts per game with 9.2.
In the other locker room, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of +321 and an impressive record of 77-37 as the favorite. They played solid baseball as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 7-2 record and a 7-3 record SU. The Cubs allow just 3.4 runs per game, ranking them first in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Cubs are the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.118 for the season.
The Cubs lead the season series, 4-2. The Dodgers have a 15-17 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Lester takes the mound. Stewart (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cubs, who have a very good 55-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Cubs lost by a margin of one run. The Dodgers are 18-18 in one-run games. The Cubs have a 16-18 record in close games.
The Dodgers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Cubs who are coming in with a 55-21 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Cubs are 7-28. The Dodgers have a 14-40 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling in the top half of the league based on total home runs this season, Los Angeles ranks 15th with 155 homers and Chicago is 12th with 163.
Los Angeles and Chicago both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Los Angeles sits at ninth with 8.59 hits per game and Chicago ranks sixth with 8.80.
Ranking 15th, Los Angeles is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.735). Chicago ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .782.
When the Cubs allow at least one home run, they are 42-38. When the Dodgers allow one or more homers, they have a 33-45 record.