In a game that could be a shootout, Luis Perdomo (6-7, 6.24 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (54-75) are in Miami to take on Justin Nicolino (2-5, 5.57 ERA) and the Marlins (67-62). This is the last of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Padres won the last game 1-0, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and can be seen on FSFL and FSSD.
Nicolino pitched 4.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out two and walking one in a 4-2 defeat to the Mets. Giancarlo Stanton (.244, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 70 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. Perdomo went 7.0 innings, surrendering one runs (one unearned) and striking out five in a 9-1 win over the Diamondbacks in his last outing.
Miami is a -177 favorite against San Diego and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of +181 and a record as the favorite of 32-32. The Marlins have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. Miami's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.9 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.1. The Marlins are the fourth-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.3 hits per game so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Marlins, who rank fourth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.7.
Over in the other dugout, San Diego is coming in with an overall money line of -315 and a disappointing record of 40-68 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-6 record and a 4-6 record SU. The Padres are an excellent base stealing team with 107 stolen bases, ranking third in the MLB.
The Marlins lead the season series, 3-2. The Marlins have a 46-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Perdomo takes the mound. Nicolino (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 39-57 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Padres won by a margin of one run. The Marlins are 19-18 in one-run games. The Padres have a 15-26 record in close games.
When leading after seven innings, Miami is 29-29, while San Diego is 23-31.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Padres are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Marlins have a 23-3 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 55-16. The Padres have a 39-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd, Miami is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 540 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half at 20th with 558.
Ranking 25th, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 364 this season. San Diego ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 374.
The Marlins are 47-30 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Padres are 45-38 when they hit at least one homer.