Homer Bailey (2-2, 5.73 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (55-73) are in Arizona to meet Archie Bradley (4-8, 5.06 ERA) and the Diamondbacks (54-76) in a game that could have plenty of offense. This is the last of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Reds won the last game 13-0, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and will air on FSAZ and FSOH.
In his most recent outing, Bradley pitched 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out seven and walking three in a 7-4 loss to the Braves. The Reds were unsuccessful against the Dodgers 18-9 the last time Bailey pitched. He went 2.1 innings, allowing six runs and walking one. Joey Votto (.311, 82 Rs, 21 HRs, 76 RBIs, 8 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Reds, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs.
Arizona is a slight -110 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have a 28-27 record and overall money line at -2,046. The Diamondbacks come into the game with the fifth-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 104 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
On the other side, the Reds have a subpar record of 36-67 when they are the underdog and are -484 overall with the money line. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, ranking second in the MLB with 112 stolen bases.
The Reds are 3-2 against the Diamondbacks this season. The Diamondbacks will take on a right-hander (Bailey) in this game and have a 36-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Bradley. They sport a 44-54 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Reds won by a margin of 13 runs. The Diamondbacks are 1-5 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Reds have a 2-5 record in blowouts.
Arizona has won 40% (26-39) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Cincinnati has won 47% (30-34) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Reds are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 13 runs. The Diamondbacks have a 0-8 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 40-15. The Reds have a 41-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th, Cincinnati sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 581 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 12th with 589.
Arizona and Cincinnati both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Arizona sits at 22nd with 367 this season and Cincinnati ranks 21st with 370.
The Diamondbacks are 45-40 when they hit at least one home run. The Reds perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 41-39 record.