Ivan Nova (10-6, 4.55 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (66-61) are in Milwaukee to go up against Chase Anderson (7-10, 4.99 ERA) and the Brewers (56-73) in a game that could be high scoring. This is the last of a four-game series at Miller Park. The Pirates won the last game 9-6, and Pittsburgh can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and will air on FSWI and RTPT.
In his most recent outing, Anderson pitched 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 6-4 victory over the Rockies. Chris Carter (.225, 65 Rs, 30 HRs, 71 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Pirates were also victorious the last time Nova pitched. He pitched well, going 9.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out six and walking one in a 7-1 victory over the Astros. Gregory Polanco (.273, 68 Rs, 19 HRs, 75 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with three RBIs.
Milwaukee, a +110 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against Pittsburgh. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at nine runs. The Brewers perform poorly as an underdog with a 36-55 record and have an overall money line of -891. They have not performed well against their division, earning a SU record of 17-31 and a 13-26 record when they were the underdog. They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 147 steals.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Pirates come into this game with a win percentage of .500 when playing as the favorite (35-35) and an overall money line of +26. They have played poorly when rated as favorite as of late. They managed a 2-5 record when playing as the favorite and a SU record of 5-5. When it comes to scoring, the Pirates haven't performed as well against teams from the NL Central. During those games, they averaged four runs per game, below their 4.5 runs per game season average.
The Pirates have mostly come out on top against the Brewers in their previous 12 games this season, earning a 7-5 record. This game will feature Nova (RHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 32-56 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Anderson will take the mound against the Pirates, who have a 47-53 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Pirates hold a split 24-24 record against NL Central teams, but the Brewers are 17-32 in such matchups.
The Brewers managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Pirates who are coming in with a 22-13 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Pirates have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Pirates have won their last three games while the Brewers have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Pirates are 42-10. The Brewers have a 44-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 532 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 578.
Ranking 10th, Pittsburgh is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 417 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at second with 500.
The Brewers are 44-37 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Pirates are 47-27 when they hit at least one homer.