R.A. Dickey (9-13, 4.43 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (73-56) go up against Kyle Gibson (5-8, 5.09 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (49-80) in the last of a three-game series at the Rogers Centre. The Twins lost the last game 8-7, extending a nine-game losing streak. The game starts at 1:07 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 28 and will air on FSN and RSN.
In his last start, Dickey pitched 6.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out two and walking two in a 7-2 victory over the Angels. Edwin Encarnacion (.271, 82 Rs, 36 HRs, 105 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3 with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. The Twins were unsuccessful the last time Gibson pitched. He struggled, going 5.0 innings, giving up five runs, striking out four and walking four in an 8-3 loss to the Tigers. Brian Dozier (.270, 81 Rs, 30 HRs, 78 RBIs, 11 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Twins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.
Toronto is a heavy -193 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 10 runs. The Blue Jays are in an interesting position this season. While they have a notable winning record in games where they're the favorite (59-37), their overall money line (-14) is less impressive. The Blue Jays come into the game with the third-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 4.9 runs per game. The Blue Jays rank fourth in the majors in extra base hits with 433. Transitioning to the Toronto defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Blue Jays, who allow an AL-low 4.1 runs per game. The Blue Jays don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.228 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Twins come into this game with a weak win percentage of .374 when playing as the underdog (37-62) and an overall money line of -2,084. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 1-9 SU and has played poorly as the underdog with a 1-8 record. Minnesota's pitching staff has allowed an average of 7.6 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 5.5.
The Blue Jays have gotten the best of the Twins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-1. This game will feature Gibson (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 54-38 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Dickey will take the mound against the Twins. Against righty starters this season, they have an awful 34-61 record.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Twins lost by a margin of one run. The Blue Jays are 15-22 in one-run games. The Twins have an 11-22 record in close games.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 13-43 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
The Blue Jays are coming into the game with two consecutive wins, while the Twins currently have a losing streak of nine.
When they outhit their opponents, the Twins are 36-9. The Blue Jays have a 58-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th, Minnesota sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 589 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five with 631.
Ranking 12th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 403 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at third with 483.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 65-33. When the Twins hit at least one homer, they have a 40-44 record.