Zack Godley (4-2, 5.53 ERA) and Anthony DeSclafani (7-2, 3.27 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (54-75) and the Cincinnati Reds (54-73) at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 4-3, and Arizona leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 27 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSOH.
Godley pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering seven runs, striking out three and walking three in a 9-8 win over the Braves. Paul Goldschmidt (.305, 86 Rs, 20 HRs, 78 RBIs, 21 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one stolen base. DeSclafani went 7.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out six and walking one in a 4-0 defeat to the Dodgers in his last outing. Adam Duvall (.244, 70 Rs, 28 HRs, 82 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run.
Cincinnati is a narrow -110 favorite over Arizona. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at nine runs for this matchup. The Diamondbacks have recorded an overall money line of -2,146 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 26-48. Arizona has gone winless (0-3) as the underdog and 4-6 SU in its last 10 outings. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they rank fifth in the NL in offense with 4.6 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 427. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 104 bases.
As for their opponent, in contrast to a worrisome overall money line (-384), Cincinnati has an impressive 18-6 record when playing as the favorite. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games playing as the favorite, and have a 6-4 SU record over the same span. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 112 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.
The Diamondbacks have a 36-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when DeSclafani takes the mound. Godley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 44-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Arizona.
Cincinnati is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona.
Cincinnati is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Arizona.
The Reds lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Diamondbacks are 18-12. The Reds are 18-25 in close games this season.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are coming in with a 6-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 9-56. The Diamondbacks have a 9-54 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, Cincinnati has hit 134 this season. Arizona ranks 18th with 146 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.40 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.22.
Ranking 24th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.719). Arizona ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .756.
The Reds are 37-61 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 28-61 record.