Danny Duffy (11-1, 2.66 ERA) is on the hill for the Kansas City Royals (67-61) as they square off against David Price (12-8, 4.00 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (71-57) in the second of a three-game series at Fenway Park. The Royals won the last game 6-3, and Kansas City leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 27 and can be seen on NESN and FSKC.
Price pitched 8.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out eight and walking two in a 6-2 win over the Rays. Mookie Betts (.320, 98 Rs, 28 HRs, 93 RBIs, 21 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 5 for 5 with two RBIs. Duffy went 6.2 innings, surrendering one run, striking out four and walking two in a 2-1 win over the Twins in his last outing. Kendrys Morales (.246, 44 Rs, 20 HRs, 58 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Royals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Boston is a -159 favorite against Kansas City and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Red Sox have an overall money line of -187 and a record as the favorite of 53-39. Boston is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Red Sox lead the MLB in extra base hits with 465. Boston's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.1 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.
In games where it is the underdog, Kansas City has a 34-49 record and an overall money line of +840. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 5-1 record and a 9-1 record SU. The Royals allow 4.1 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 1.4 runs per game during that span.
The Royals lead the season series, 3-1. The Red Sox have a 16-14 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Duffy takes the mound. Price (LHP) will be on the hill against the Royals, who have a 15-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Under
Kansas City has won 46% (25-29) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Boston has won 57% (35-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Royals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 22-27 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 9-41. The Red Sox have an 8-35 record when opponents outhit them.
Kansas City ranks near the bottom of the league at 27th when it comes to home runs, hitting 112 this season. Boston ranks in the top half with 161.
Boston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to hits with 9.89 per game this season. Kansas City ranks in the top five with 8.96.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Boston has an OPS of .816 this season. Kansas City ranks 26th with an OPS of .713.
The Royals are 41-49 when they allow at least one home run. The Red Sox perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 42-46 record.