Jimmy Nelson (7-13, 4.26 ERA) and Jameson Taillon (3-3, 2.92 ERA) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (56-72) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (65-61) at Miller Park. The Pirates won the last game 5-3, and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 27 and can be seen on FSWI and RTPT.
Nelson pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs and striking out four in a 4-2 win over the Rockies. Ryan Braun (.318, 66 Rs, 24 HRs, 74 RBIs, 14 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one stolen base. Taillon went 8.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 3-1 defeat to the Astros in his most recent start. David Freese (.273, 54 Rs, 12 HRs, 49 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Pittsburgh takes on Milwaukee as a -147 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have recorded an overall money line of -791 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 36-54. Milwaukee has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 13-25 and 17-30 as the underdog and SU respectively. Milwaukee leads the MLB in steals, swiping 147 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, Pittsburgh has a 34-35 record and an overall money line of -74. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 1-5 record and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, the Pirates have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 4.5 runs per game by averaging 4.0 in those contests.
The Pirates lead the season series, 6-5. The Brewers have a bad 32-55 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Taillon takes the mound. Nelson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 46-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Brewers are struggling at 17-31 in their division, while the Pirates are 23-24.
When leading after seven innings, Pittsburgh is 27-32, while Milwaukee is 23-31.
The Pirates managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 10-11 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 11-59. The Pirates have a 16-47 record when opponents outhit them.
Pittsburgh ranks near the bottom of the league at 26th when it comes to home runs, hitting 118 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half with 143.
Ranking 13th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.08 per game. Pittsburgh ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 8.77.
Ranking 21st, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.731). Pittsburgh ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .731.
When the Pirates allow at least one home run, they are 34-48. When the Brewers allow one or more homers, they have a 34-55 record.