Matt Garza (4-5, 5.27 ERA) and Ryan Vogelsong (2-3, 2.98 ERA) start in the second of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (56-71) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (64-61) at Miller Park. The Pirates won the last game 3-2, and Pittsburgh leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 26 and can be seen on FSWI and RTPT.
Garza pitched 3.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering six runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking one in a 7-6 win over the Mariners. Ryan Braun (.317, 66 Rs, 24 HRs, 74 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Vogelsong went 6.0 innings, surrendering three, striking out five and walking two in a 3-2 defeat to the Marlins in his most recent start.
Pittsburgh takes on Milwaukee as a -120 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at nine runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -691 and a record as the underdog of 36-53. Milwaukee has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 13-24 and 17-29 as the underdog and SU respectively. Milwaukee leads the MLB in steals, swiping 144 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, Pittsburgh has a 33-35 record and an overall money line of -174. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games, recording zero wins when playing as the favorite and with a SU record of 5-5. Offensively, the Pirates have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 4.5 runs per game by averaging 4.0 in those contests.
The Brewers have a bad 32-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Vogelsong takes the mound. Garza (RHP) will be on the hill against the Pirates, who have a 45-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Brewers are struggling at 17-30 in their division, while the Pirates are 22-24.
When leading after seven innings, Pittsburgh is 27-32, while Milwaukee is 23-31.
The Pirates managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Brewers who are heading in with a 32-32 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Pirates are 41-10. The Brewers have a 44-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th in runs, Milwaukee has earned 523 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 18th with 564 runs.
Ranking 10th, Pittsburgh is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 408 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at second with 490.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 44-35. When the Pirates hit at least one homer, they have a 46-27 record.