Braden Shipley (2-3, 5.45 ERA) and Brandon Finnegan (8-9, 4.32 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (53-75) and the Cincinnati Reds (54-72) at Chase Field. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 26 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSOH.
Shipley pitched 5.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering seven runs, striking out five and walking one in a 9-1 defeat to the Padres. Paul Goldschmidt (.304, 86 Rs, 20 HRs, 78 RBIs, 20 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Finnegan went 7.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out eight and walking two in an 11-1 win over the Dodgers in his last outing.
Arizona is a slim -110 favorite at home against Cincinnati. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of nine runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of -1,974 and a record as the favorite of 27-26. Arizona is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they rank third in the NL in home offense with 4.8 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 424. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 102 bases.
Over in the other dugout, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -384 and a disappointing record of 36-66 as the underdog. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 112 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB.
The Reds lead the season series, 2-1. The Diamondbacks have a 17-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Finnegan takes the mound. Shipley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 44-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
The Reds lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Diamondbacks are 17-12. The Reds are 18-24 in close games this season.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Diamondbacks are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Reds have a 14-1 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 8-54. The Reds have a 9-56 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, Cincinnati has hit 134 this season. Arizona ranks 17th with 145 home runs.
Ranking 11th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.37 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.22.
Ranking 23rd, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.718). Arizona ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .757.
The Reds are 37-60 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 28-61 record.