In the last of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (66-60) and the Kansas City Royals (65-61) at Marlins Park, Tom Koehler (9-8, 3.82 ERA) and Edinson Volquez (9-10, 5.04 ERA) get the start. The Marlins won the last game 3-0, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 25 and will air on FSKC and FSFL.
In his most recent outing, Koehler pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs and striking out two in a 6-5 victory over the Pirates. Giancarlo Stanton (.244, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 70 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with one run, one home run, and three RBIs. The Royals were victorious over the Twins 5-4 the last time Volquez pitched. He went 4.1 innings, allowing four runs, striking out five and walking one. Eric Hosmer (.275, 61 Rs, 17 HRs, 73 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Miami is a small underdog (-101) and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have a 35-30 record and overall money line at +314. They have a 4-4 record when they were the underdog and 6-10 SU against the American League. Miami has averaged 4.8 runs per game during interleague play, higher than its season average of 4.2. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, the Miami pitching staff and defense has been very good, only giving up 4.1 runs per game. The Marlins are fourth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.1 per game.
On the other side, the Royals have a nice record of 32-12 when they are favored and are +737 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups,the team is 9-1 SU and have an unblemished 4-0 record when it was the favorite. Kansas City has been playing better lately, averaging 5.0 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.9. The Royals are one of the top pitching staffs in the AL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 4.1 runs allowed per game.
The Marlins will take on a right-hander (Volquez) in this game and have a 45-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Koehler will take the mound against the Royals, who have a 50-46 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Under
Miami won its last game in a shutout, its ninth of the season. Kansas City has been shut out 10 times this season.
The Marlins are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Royals have a record of 16-17 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they are outhit, the Royals are 8-41. The Marlins have a 9-38 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami and Kansas City both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Miami sits at 28th with 106 home runs this season and Kansas City ranks 27th with 108.
Miami and Kansas City both rank in the top five of the league in hits. Miami sits at second with 9.36 hits per game and Kansas City ranks fifth with 8.98.
Ranking 26th, Kansas City is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Miami ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .735.
When the Royals allow at least one home run, they are 41-49, well-matched with the Marlins who are 28-36 when allowing at least one homer.