Adam Wainwright (9-7, 4.71 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (67-58) meet Seth Lugo (0-2, 3.04 ERA) and the New York Mets (63-63) in the last of a three-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals won the last game 8-1, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 25 and will air on FSMW and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Wainwright pitched 6.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out five and walking two in a 4-3 victory over the Phillies. Brandon Moss (.265, 54 Rs, 23 HRs, 57 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run. The Mets were unsuccessful the last time Lugo pitched. He went 6.2 innings, giving up three runs, striking out three and walking one in an 8-1 loss to the Giants. Jay Bruce (.248, 65 Rs, 27 HRs, 86 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 1 yesterday.
St. Louis is a -175 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Cardinals are 45-38 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -132. The Cardinals rank third in the majors in home runs with 177. Turning to the pitching staff, the Cardinals are second in the NL in walks allowed at home with just 2.7 per game.
On the other side, the Mets have a record of 17-24 when they are the underdog and are -1,344 overall with the money line. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.2 runs per game, above their 3.8 season average. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the New York pitchers. They allowed 5.8 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 3.9. They also allow just 2.5 walks per road game, the best in the NL.
In their previous five games this season, the Cardinals have a 3-2 record. This game will feature Lugo (RHP) on the mound against the Cardinals, who have a 49-37 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Wainwright will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 47-44 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, St. Louis is 31-24, while New York is 23-25.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Cardinals have a 16-2 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 42-11. The Cardinals have a 46-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th in runs, New York has earned 477 this season. St. Louis ranks fourth with 626 runs.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 380 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 423.
When the Cardinals hit at least one home run, they are 55-37. When the Mets hit at least one homer, they have a 54-34 record.