Runs may be hard to come by in this one as Kenta Maeda (12-7, 3.29 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (69-55) meet Madison Bumgarner (12-7, 2.25 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (68-56) in the first of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. The game starts at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 23 and will air on CSBA and SNLA.
In his last start, Maeda pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out nine and walking one in a 15-5 victory over the Phillies. Corey Seager (.321, 83 Rs, 22 HRs, 61 RBIs, 1 SB) played well again yesterday, going 4 for 5 with three runs, one home run, and three RBIs. The Giants were victorious over the Mets 10-7 the last time Bumgarner pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out six and walking three. Angel Pagan (.299, 53 Rs, 8 HRs, 40 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 2 Sunday.
Los Angeles is a slight -114 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is six runs. The Dodgers are in an interesting position this season. While they have a notable winning record in games where they're the favorite (62-36), their overall money line (-456) is less impressive. They have performed well against their division to earn a SU record of 26-21 and a 26-14 record when they were the favorite. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Dodgers has gone great. Over that span, Los Angeles is averaging 6.3 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.6. Los Angeles's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.1 during that span, compared to its 4.0 season average. The Dodgers don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking third in the league with a 1.186 WHIP.
Switching gears, the Giants come into this game with a win percentage of .419 when playing as the underdog (18-25) and an overall money line of -275. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 3-7 SU and has a poor 0-2 record when it was an underdog to win. The Giants are one of the top NL pitching staffs on the road, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of four runs allowed per away game. They have a WHIP of 1.232 on the year, good for fifth in the league.
The Giants have mostly come out on top against the Dodgers in their previous 10 games this season, earning a 6-4 record. The Dodgers will take on a left-hander (Bumgarner) in this game and have a 14-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Giants will be the right-hander Maeda. They sport a 44-41 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
The Giants sit at 31-18 against their divisional rivals, while the Dodgers are 26-21.
The Dodgers managed to give up eight walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are coming in with a 4-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Dodgers have a slight leg up on the Giants, as the Dodgers have won their last two games while the Giants have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Dodgers are 51-15. The Giants have a 49-13 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 17th, San Francisco sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 556 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top half at 14th with 567.
Ranking ninth, Los Angeles is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 407 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fourth with 455.
The Dodgers are 53-28 when they hit at least one home run. The Giants perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 44-26 record.