Dan Straily (9-6, 3.72 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (53-71) go up against Derek Holland (5-5, 5.20 ERA) and the Texas Rangers (73-52) in the first of a two-game interleague series at the Great American Ball Park. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 23 and will air on FSSW and FSOH.
In his last start, Straily pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs and striking out seven in a 5-4 victory over the Marlins. Joey Votto (.309, 80 Rs, 20 HRs, 72 RBIs, 8 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 6 with two runs and four RBIs. The Rangers were victorious over the Orioles 4-3 the last time Holland pitched. He went 4.1 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking two. Mitch Moreland (.253, 42 Rs, 21 HRs, 51 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 1 Sunday with one RBI.
Cincinnati is a slight underdog (+103) and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Reds perform poorly as an underdog with a 35-65 record and have an overall money line of -394. They come into the game with concerning records of 2-11 as the underdog and 4-11 SU against the American League. Cincinnati has averaged 6.0 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.5. The Reds are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 110 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Across the field, the Rangers have a nice record of 34-19 when they are favored and are +2,519 overall with the money line. Against NL opponents, they are 10-5 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 4-3 record. The Rangers have not played up to par on offense against the NL. Texas has averaged 4.0 runs per game, less than their 4.7 season average.
The Reds will take on a left-hander (Holland) in this game. They have struggled against left-handed starting pitchers this season, going 9-19. The right-handed Straily will take the mound against the Rangers, who have a 54-35 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - TEX, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Texas is 35-25, while Cincinnati is 29-34.
The Rangers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are heading in with a 22-21 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 39-11. The Rangers have a 48-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 16th in runs, Cincinnati has earned 557 this season. Texas ranks ninth with 582 runs.
Cincinnati and Texas both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Cincinnati sits at 21st with 353 this season and Texas ranks 27th with 329.
The Reds are 40-39 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Rangers are 60-35 when they hit at least one homer.