Chris Archer (7-16, 4.18 ERA) and Clay Buchholz (4-9, 5.55 ERA) start in the second of a four-game series between the Tampa Bay Rays (52-71) and the Boston Red Sox (70-54) at Tropicana Field. The Red Sox won the last game 6-2, and Boston leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 23 and can be seen on NESN and SUN.
Archer pitched 7.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out nine and walking one in a 2-0 win over the Padres. Evan Longoria (.291, 66 Rs, 29 HRs, 78 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Buchholz went 3.2 innings, surrendering one run in a 1-1 defeat to the Tigers in his most recent start. David Ortiz (.320, 60 Rs, 29 HRs, 97 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Red Sox, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Tampa Bay is a slim -110 favorite at home against Boston. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Rays have an overall money line of -2,550 and a record as the favorite of 32-36. Tampa Bay is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Rays have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. The Rays are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 166.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 17-17 record and an overall money line of -51. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-2 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, they average 5.5 runs per game, which the best in the AL. The Red Sox are tough outs for opponents, leading the AL with 10.0 hits per game. Moving on to Boston's pitching staff and defense, the Red Sox allow just four runs per road game, ranking them fourth in the AL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Red Sox are fifth in the AL with an average of 8.5 hits allowed per game. The Red Sox have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.0 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Red Sox lead the season series, 6-4. The Rays have a 38-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Buchholz takes the mound. Archer (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 54-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
The Rays hold a 20-27 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Red Sox's record in these matchups is 25-22.
The Rays managed to give up eight walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Red Sox who are coming in with a 3-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Rays are 10-54. The Red Sox have a 7-34 record when opponents outhit them.
Boston ranks in the top 10 of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 160 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top five with 166.
Boston tops the league in hits with 9.97 per game this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top half with 8.14.
Ranking first in on-base plus slugging percentage, Boston has an OPS of .822 this season. Tampa Bay ranks 18th with an OPS of .737.
The Red Sox are 42-44 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Rays are 28-64 when they allow at least one homer.