Jimmy Nelson (6-13, 4.31 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (53-70) meet Chad Bettis (10-6, 5.29 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (60-64) in the first of a three-game series at Miller Park. The game gets underway at 7:20 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 22 and will air on FSWI and RTRM.
In his last start, Nelson pitched 5.0 innings, allowing six runs, striking out four and walking two in a 6-1 loss to the Cubs. Ryan Braun (.318, 62 Rs, 22 HRs, 70 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs. The Rockies were victorious over the Nationals 6-2 the last time Bettis pitched. He went 3.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out one and walking one. Nolan Arenado (.280, 90 Rs, 32 HRs, 104 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 4 for 5 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and six RBIs.
Milwaukee is a slight -115 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Brewers have a 19-17 record and overall money line at -998. The Brewers are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with an MLB-high 137 steals. Milwaukee's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Brewers have given up an average of 6.5 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.8 runs per game.
Switching gears, the Rockies come into this game with a win percentage of .449 when playing as the underdog (35-43) and an overall money line of +146. They sport the top-ranked offense in the NL, averaging 5.3 runs per game. One of the top hitting teams in the NL are the Rockies, who average 9.4 hits per game. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Colorado pitchers. They allowed 6.8 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 5.2. They also average just 8.0 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the NL.
This game will feature Bettis (RHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 30-54 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Rockies will be the right-hander Nelson. They sport a 45-43 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - COL, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Colorado is 28-34, while Milwaukee is 21-30.
The Rockies are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 11 runs. The Brewers have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rockies are 44-13. The Brewers have a 43-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 504 this season. Colorado ranks in the top five at second with 660.
Ranking 10th, Colorado is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 398 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at second with 469.
When the Brewers hit at least one home run, they are 42-34, well-matched with the Rockies who are 47-34 when hitting one or more homers.