Blake Snell (4-5, 3.06 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (52-70) meet David Price (11-8, 4.19 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (69-54) in the first of a four-game division series at Tropicana Field. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 22 and will air on NESN and SUN.
In his most recent outing, Snell pitched 5.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out eight and walking four in a 15-1 victory over the Padres. Brad Miller (.266, 59 Rs, 25 HRs, 60 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run. The Red Sox were also victorious the last time Price pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out four in an 8-1 victory over the Orioles. David Ortiz (.319, 60 Rs, 29 HRs, 97 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Tampa Bay is a +145 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Rays have a losing record of 20-34 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -2,450. They are 1-4 as the underdog over their last 10 games. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Rays has gone great. Over that span, Tampa Bay is averaging 6.2 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.2. The Rays are a power hitting team with 165 home runs, one of the highest totals in the MLB.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .584 when playing as the favorite (52-37) and an overall money line of -151. Over the past 10 matchups,the team is 8-2 SU and have an unblemished 8-0 record when it was the favorite. The Red Sox are the number one overall scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game so far. The top hitting team in the AL are the Red Sox, who average 10.0 hits per game. Boston's pitching staff and defense as a whole have been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking third in the AL with only four runs allowed per road game. They also average just 8.5 hits allowed per game, fifth-best in the AL. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 8.0 strikeouts per road game.
The Red Sox have mostly come out on top against the Rays in their previous nine games this season, earning a 5-4 record. This game will feature Price (LHP) on the mound against the Rays, who have a 14-17 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the left-hander Snell. They sport a 15-14 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
The Rays hold a 20-26 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Red Sox's record in these matchups is 24-22.
The Rays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 22-25 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Rays are 10-53. The Red Sox have a 7-34 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 10th in home runs, Boston has hit 159 this season. Tampa Bay ranks fifth with 165 home runs.
Ranking first in hits, Boston has earned 9.99 per game this season. Tampa Bay ranks 15th with 8.14 hits.
Boston tops the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .821 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the top half with an OPS of .739.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 41-44. When the Rays allow one or more homers, they have a 28-63 record.