Homer Bailey (2-1, 3.66 ERA) and Scott Kazmir (10-6, 4.41 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a four-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (53-70) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (68-55) at the Great American Ball Park. The Dodgers won the last game 4-0, and Cincinnati leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 12:35 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 22 and can be seen on SNLA.
Bailey pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two, striking out six and walking one in a 3-2 win over the Marlins. Kazmir went 5.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out one and walking three in a 7-2 win over the Phillies in his most recent start. Corey Seager (.316, 80 Rs, 21 HRs, 58 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Dodgers, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Los Angeles takes on Cincinnati as a -137 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at nine runs. The Reds have recorded an overall money line of -294 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 35-64. The Reds have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.5 runs per game. Cincinnati is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 110 bases. Cincinnati's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.8 runs per game, well under their season average of 5.3.
In the other locker room, in contrast to a worrisome overall money line (-556), Los Angeles has an impressive 61-36 record when playing as the favorite. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is fourth in the NL. Los Angeles is excellent at drawing walks with 3.5 per road game, ranking third in the NL. The Dodgers allow 4.0 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.8 runs per game during that span. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Dodgers are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.176 for the season. The Dodgers have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 9.3 strikeouts per game.
The Dodgers lead the season series, 4-2. The Reds have a bad 9-18 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Kazmir takes the mound. Bailey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Dodgers, who have a 54-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
Los Angeles earned its 11th shutout of the season in its last game. Cincinnati has been shut out seven times this season.
The Reds didn't score any runs in their last game. The Dodgers have an 11-0 record when they don't allow any runs.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 9-54. The Dodgers have a 12-39 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, Cincinnati has hit 134 this season. Los Angeles ranks 17th with 143 home runs.
Cincinnati and Los Angeles both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Cincinnati sits at 10th with 8.38 hits per game and Los Angeles ranks ninth with 8.53.
Ranking 22nd, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.718). Los Angeles ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .732.
When the Dodgers allow at least one home run, they are 32-43. When the Reds allow one or more homers, they have a 37-58 record.