Zack Godley (4-2, 4.85 ERA) and Mike Foltynewicz (6-5, 4.45 ERA) take the hill in the first of a four-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (51-73) and the Atlanta Braves (45-79) at Chase Field. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 22 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSSE.
Godley pitched 7.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs, striking out four and walking two in a 13-5 win over the Mets. Paul Goldschmidt (.300, 79 Rs, 18 HRs, 74 RBIs, 19 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Foltynewicz went 5.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out seven and walking three in a 10-3 defeat to the Twins in his last outing. Matt Kemp (.260, 62 Rs, 25 HRs, 78 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Arizona is a -168 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of -2,063 and a record as the favorite of 25-25. While Arizona has performed poorly SU over its last ten outings (3-7), they've made up for it with an impressive 3-1 record as the favorite. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 100 bases. Arizona's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 7.5 runs per game, well above its season average of 5.6.
In the other locker room, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of -959 and a disappointing record of 42-68 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-7 record and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Braves have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.6 runs per game by averaging 4.7 during that stretch. The Braves allow 4.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 7.8 runs per game during that span.
The Diamondbacks have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Diamondbacks have a bad 15-33 record at home (34-57 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Foltynewicz takes the mound. Godley (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 32-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Under
The Braves won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Diamondbacks are 15-12. The Braves are 15-19 in close games this season.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Diamondbacks are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 17-3 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 7-54. The Diamondbacks have an 8-52 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks at the bottom of the league when it comes to home runs, hitting 85 this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom half with 140.
Ranking 11th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.33 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.24.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.676). Arizona ranks in the top half at 12th with an OPS of .754.
The Braves are 20-60 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Diamondbacks are 26-61 when they allow at least one homer.