Anthony DeSclafani (7-1, 3.10 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (53-69) meet Julio Urias (3-2, 4.41 ERA) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (67-55) in the third of a four-game series at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 11-1, extending a five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 21 and will air on SNLA and FSOH.
In his most recent outing, DeSclafani pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs and striking out six in a 6-3 victory over the Marlins. Joey Votto (.307, 78 Rs, 20 HRs, 68 RBIs, 8 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run and one RBI. The Dodgers were victorious over the Pirates 8-4 the last time Urias pitched. He went 2.2 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out three and walking three. Corey Seager (.314, 80 Rs, 21 HRs, 57 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 1 yesterday with one run.
Cincinnati is a +127 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. The Reds perform poorly as an underdog with a 34-63 record and have an overall money line of -327. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Reds has gone great. Over that span, Cincinnati is averaging 5.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.4. The Reds are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 110 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Cincinnati's pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 4.0 during that span, compared to its 5.4 season average.
Across the field, the Dodgers have a nice record of 60-35 when they are favored, but are -513 overall with the money line. They sport the fourth-ranked offense in the NL, averaging four runs per game. Los Angeles is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.2 hits per contest. Los Angeles has an eye for the strike zone on the road, ranking third in the NL with 3.5 walks per game. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Los Angeles pitchers. They allowed 5.4 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.0. They have a WHIP of 1.176, second best in the MLB. The Los Angeles pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging an NL-best 9.3 strikeouts per game.
In their previous five games this season, the Dodgers have a 3-2 record. This game will feature Urias (LHP) on the mound against the Reds, who have an 8-17 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Dodgers will be the right-hander DeSclafani. They sport a 53-40 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
The Reds won their last game by a 10-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Dodgers are 3-2. The Reds are 1-5 in blowouts this season.
The Reds are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 11 runs. The Dodgers have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Reds have a slight leg up on the Dodgers, as the Reds have won their last five games while the Dodgers have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Dodgers are 50-15. The Reds have a 39-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total runs this season, Cincinnati ranks 16th with 548 runs and Los Angeles is 19th with 545.
Ranking 25th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 344 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 400.
The Reds are 40-39 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Dodgers are 51-28 when they hit at least one homer.