Ryan Vogelsong (2-2, 3.20 ERA) and Jose Urena (1-4, 6.80 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Pittsburgh Pirates (62-58) and the Miami Marlins (64-59) at PNC Park. The Marlins won the last game 3-1, and Miami leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 21 and can be seen on FSFL and RTPT.
Vogelsong pitched 5.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out one and walking three in an 8-5 win over the Giants. Urena went 6.0 innings, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking three in a 6-3 defeat to the Reds in his last outing. Giancarlo Stanton (.244, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 70 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Pittsburgh is a -136 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Pirates have an overall money line of +236 and a record as the favorite of 33-31.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 33-30 record and an overall money line of +84. The Marlins are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.4 hits per game. Miami is excellent at making contact with just 7.6 strikeouts per game, ranking fourth in the NL. The Marlins have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.6 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Marlins have controlled the season series, 5-1. The Pirates have a 44-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Urena takes the mound. Vogelsong (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 42-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
Pittsburgh has won 45% (25-31) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Miami has won 49% (28-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Pirates have a 22-28 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 8-38. The Pirates have a 16-46 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, Pittsburgh ranks 26th with 113 homers and Miami is 28th with 105.
Ranking first in hits, Miami has earned 9.43 per game this season. Pittsburgh ranks fifth with 8.85 hits.
Pittsburgh and Miami both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Pittsburgh sits at 18th with an OPS of .736, and Miami ranks 16th with an OPS of .740.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 28-36, well-matched with the Pirates who are 32-45 when allowing at least one homer.